Why Labour isn't 20 points ahead

When Jeremy Corbyn was LOTO we were told by centrists and much of the media that if only Labour had a 'moderate' leader the Party would be 20 points ahead in the polls. Now that Corbyn has been replaced by Keir Starmer this hasn't happened. In fact, despite the utter incompetence and corruption of Boris Johnson's Conservative government, the Tories have been ahead in the polls for most of 2020. Only in recent days after the Christmas covid cock up has Labour taken a small lead. Why is this? This Twitter thread by @cakeylaura about her father night help to explain (I've not included all the tweets in the thread):

"He's got some significant health issues and so does his partner. They both rely on the NHS. He's very worried about climate change. In every respect he ought to be a slam dunk Labour voter. But instead he thinks Boris Johnson is great and voted Tory at the last election. Why"

Because he's afraid of change. And the world is changing fast. Suddenly he's being accused of racism for the same jokes he used to tell loudly and unchallenged down the pub (accurately btw, he is racist, although of course he doesn't think so).

And that's the essential heart of it. To him, the Tories love Britain and want it to thrive. They will put Europe in its place, will play Rule Britannia, will give him something to be proud of. Labour? Labour will just accelerate Britain's decline into namby pamby wokeism."

Of course, people like @cakeylaura's father didn't get these views overnight. The community they grew up in (including family) will have had a large influence as will the mainstream media which, through newspapers like the Sun and Daily Mail, has been bigging up Britain and slagging off the EU for decades, stoking the fires of English nationalism.

The key question is - how do we change the opinions of people who share his views in order to promote racial harmony and progressive change? Why do some people prefer conspiracy theories promoted by politicians like Trump to facts presented by 'experts'? This Guardian article by Lois Beckett gives us some important clues. 

Firstly, people operate emotionally not rationally. They won't be swayed by facts. Experts telling us the truth won't cut it. Secondly, the narrative is important. Tell a story that is consistent and promotes the right values and policy solutions. For decades the right has had a consistent narrative about free markets, tax burdens, and red tape. Repeat this often enough and it seeps into people's consciousness. Where is the left's alternative to this? There isn't one but I've suggested one in this post.

So how do we change people's minds? According to the Guardian article:

"While it is possible to engage with people who believe deeply in false narratives, and sometimes change their minds, that work is most successful on an individual basis, with people who know each other well, experts said.

It’s helpful to understand someone’s fundamental framework for viewing the world, including whom they view as the “good guys” and the “bad guys”, in order to understand what kind of additional information might sway them, Phillips said."

We can't change the minds of millions through personal actions but we can change the narrative and we can make much more use of effective frames such as "for the many" instead of banging on about our good policies. Because most people don't vote for policies they vote with their hearts, not their head.  

The left has a lot of work to do. People on the left and right talk disparagingly about 'identity politics' but the truth is, for most people, like @cakeylaura's father, their politics are bound up completely with their identity. It's time we understood that. 

In the shorter term, the question is - will the approach adopted by Starmer's Labour be able to appeal to red wall Labour Tories and will Labour be able to square the circle of Brexit-loving English nationalism and progressive policies? I'm not holding my breath waiting for that poll lead.

Let's face it - the Labour Party has never been fit for purpose.

If you are a Labour Party member you will have a party card which states: "The Labour party is a democratic socialist party". But there is a problem - Labour is not a democratic socialist party and never has been, and it's not even particularly democratic. The party has always been dominated by the right and has failed in over a century to make radical reforms to our antiquated, class-ridden, parliamentary system which works in the interests of the ruling class.

I'd recommend you read the classic Parliamentary Socialism by Ralph Miliband. Although his book only covers the history of the Party up until the early 1960s it describes how even origins of the Party were not particularly radical and how it has always operated within the system of British capitalism rather than trying to bring about real change beneficial to the mass of British citizens. As Miliband said: 

"the Labour Party remains, in practice, what it has always been - a party of modest social reform in a capitalist system within whose confines it is ever more firmly and by now irrevocably rooted."

And so we find ourselves in a 21st century which is beginning to look more like the 19th century as it progresses, with mass poverty, low pay, poor housing,  privatised healthcare and education, dominated financial interests and the same ruling class.

The election of Jeremy Corbyn as leader of Labour in 2015 was an aberration. Though welcome it was obvious that the right of the Party which dominated the PLP would leave no stone unturned in its quest to ensure that this blip was ended as quickly as possible. 

The recent debacle in which Keir Starmer first suspended and then refused to restore the whip to Corbyn, after he was reinstated by an NEC panel demonstrates the determination of the right to crush the left in the party. And let's not forget this is the same Starmer who was elected as leader on the promise of uniting the party with the votes of many Corbyn supporters.

There can be no doubt now that in terms of membership and MPs the Party is further to the left than it has been for most if its history but how should the left respond to the ongoing attacks which are not going to let up? Should they leave or stay and fight? 

Many have already left and those who remain, certainly in the PLP don't appear to be putting up much of a fight at the moment. My view is that Labour is beyond redemption as far as democratic socialism is concerned. It would be better if Corbyn and the Socialist Campaign Group departed, and with the support of sympathetic unions set up a genuinely democratic socialist party. I've no doubt this could gain a membership of a couple of hundred thousand people and would have four years to organise and campaign to fight a general election in 2024. 

Will this happen? I doubt it, but it's still possible that Starmer and the Blairite rabble in the PLP could make the mistake of expelling Corbyn and that should be a game-changer. 

How #Trump wins

As I write this, the US presidential election is in the balance. Biden is ahead but there is no certainty he is going to win. Trump could still win a second term. The big question is - how? How can a man who is a narcissist, rapist, racist, misogynist, tax-dodging, corrupt monster responsible for 225,000 Covid deaths possibly win a second term?

More easily than you might think actually. Firstly he appeals to many because he is seen as straight-talking, and many are disillusioned with politicians' empty promises. He 'says what he thinks' even if that is only for effect. I saw some footage of him at a rally the other day. I hate to admit it but I was impressed. He was slick, he came across as a consummate performer, almost like a very good stand up comedian. And what he said hit home. Every phrase and sentence pushed the buttons of his admiring supporters.

"Make America great again", "Build the wall", "Jobs, jobs, jobs" - this is exactly what millions of Americans, who've been suffering from low pay and joblessness and have been ground down by forty years of neoliberalism want to hear. To them, he is a saviour. Contrast that with the mealy-mouthed platitudes and empty slogans of "Yes we can" Obama, who did nothing for the American working class and plenty for his backers in Wall Street. 

The truth is that the mainstream Democrats and their corporate backers have nothing to offer the great majority of Americans. People are desperate for change and no amount of Biden's appeal that "we can be better" will change that or assuage their anger. This is the beauty of neoliberalism, you dump on the many, slash their pay, benefits, and healthcare. Then you find a populist like Trump to offer them change - with no intention of delivering anything.

It was the same with Brexit. The Tories dumped on the UK working class, particularly in the industrial North, and brought poverty and homelessness, and despair to many thousands. Then they pushed the same buttons of anger and frustration that Trump did, blamed it all on the EU and immigrants, and offered to make Britain great again by leaving the EU - result? Boris Johnson and an eighty seat majority.

Its a tried and tested method and it works over and over again. The left has failed to find an effective antidote, largely because it doesn't hold the levers of economic power and control the media. Simply appealing to people's better nature for compassion, fairness and equality doesn't work in a climate of fear and anger.

In The Byline Times today Anthony Barnett summed the situation up:

The US is deeply polarised and this has to be addressed not denied by claiming ‘we can overcome’. Obama presided over a massive widening of inequality, something Biden Democrats have never acknowledged. The system he represents and assisted is divisive and makes his words ring hollow. 

By contrast, in Michigan, Trump rallied his supporters with a claim on the future that recognised America as a battleground: “We are going to keep on working, we are going to keep on fighting, and we are going to keep on winning, winning, winning.” 

And they love him for it. 

Local lockdowns won't work we need a circuit breaker with full furlough #Covid19UK

As if the threat of the coronavirus wasn't enough to cause you some anxiety - perhaps unless you are young and healthy - the manifest failure of this government to suppress the virus makes things much worse. In far east countries like Vietnam, the death toll is low (see below) and the economy is functioning well, and people accept the need to wear masks. In the UK the story is very different.

If you want to protect people and the economy you have to suppress the virus. This is what they have done successfully in the far east. That needs an effective test and trace system run by public health. The government's half-arsed three-tiered local lockdown is not the answer and will inflict terrible harm. It limits economic activity but doesn't take the necessary steps to control the virus. It is the worst of both worlds.

It's also necessary to quash the myth of herd immunity. The coronavirus is a flu-type virus. Immunity is short-lived. See this quote from The Lancet: 

"The arrival of a second wave and the realisation of the challenges ahead has led to renewed interest in a so-called herd immunity approach, which suggests allowing a large uncontrolled outbreak in the low-risk population while protecting the vulnerable. Proponents suggest this would lead to the development of infection-acquired population immunity in the low-risk population, which will eventually protect the vulnerable.

This is a dangerous fallacy unsupported by scientific evidence."

It's also important to note that while the death rate is low and largely confined to the very elderly even a 1% death rate would be catastrophic for populations around the world. At 1% the number of deaths would be higher than the Spanish flu. For example

1% of UK population: 666,000

1% of US population: 3.28 million 1% of world population: 78.1 million

Some countries have successfully suppressed the virus. The combined population of Thailand and Vietnam is roughly three times that of the UK at 170 million. The death toll is 94. These counties are both 'poorer' than the UK. Neither has the kind of healthcare we have here.

We need a circuit breaker with schools and universities closed for several weeks as recommended by SAGE. Students need to be able to return home if they want to with rent rebates. This needs to be accompanied by a proper furlough scheme to keep workers in jobs and businesses afloat, otherwise it could be a very bleak winter with no end in sight.

David Graeber - Rest In Power

I've never written an obituary before. I'm not sure that I know how to. But what I do know is that I was gutted to hear that David Graeber is dead at the age of 59. 

I found him inspirational, as a speaker and a writer. He was an anarchist who cut through the bullshit which props up our rigged capitalist society. He was also an activist who was involved in Occupy Wall Street and is credited with coining - "We are the 99%" - although he claims he didn't.

I have most of his books and they're all worth reading. I started with The Democracy Project which talks about Occupy and the democratic deficit in the USA. Probably his most important work is Debt: The First 5000 Years. As he says in the book he was amazed that nobody had ever written a book about debt, its origins, and consequences, before. I recommend you watch this short video that debunks the myths surrounding debt.

He will also be remembered for Bullshit Jobs, which exposes the many useless office jobs that people are trapped in and how bureaucracy - long blamed on government and socialism - is an inherent part of the capitalist system.

I learned a lot from David and he'll be sorely missed, not just by me, but thousands of others who enjoyed his exposures of our corrupt and unequal society. The world will be a poorer place without him.

RIP.

These are the three priorities we need to fight for: Electoral reform, a Green New Deal and #MMT

Covid-19 isn't going away anytime soon. It may be around for many years. There may never be a vaccine. We, and particularly older and more vulnerable people, may have to adapt the way we do things permanently. The virus could be a feature of the rest of our lives. But there is another bigger problem - the climate crisis. As I write this, wildfires are raging in California and the Greenland ice cap is melting. Many climate experts think we have only a decade to take decisive action to prevent a climate catastrophe which will cause huge damage to human society and the species we share our planet with.

Oh, and there's another problem called neoliberalism. Wherever you look Western governments in the USA, UK, Australia, and beyond are busily prioritising the wealth of corporations and the 1% over the economic health and wellbeing of citizens. The UK government is busily handing out lucrative government contracts to its friends and private corporations without any tendering process. There is no attempt to even hide this anymore and the MSM is largely silent on this.

In the UK we have a pressing need for a change of government to one which will actually look after its citizens and the environment. One of the biggest barriers to change is our electoral first past the post system (FPTP). We are only one of two European countries - the other Belarus - which do not use some sort of proportional representation. We need electoral reform as a priority to represent the real will of the people and break the two-party stranglehold on our politics.

So, our three priorities now must be:

• Electoral reform - the introduction of a system of proportional representation (PR) for all elections
• A green new deal (GND) to combat the climate crisis and provide much-needed jobs in response to the economic contraction we are going through. 
• A recognition of Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) by government and economists

Why is MMT a priority? It's because acceptance of MMT would forever nail the myth that taxes pay for government spending. They don't. Sovereign governments with their own currency like the UK don't tax and spend, they spend then tax. They can create as much money as they need to spend so the £300 billion bailout of the UK economy by Rishi Sunak is affordable, as is a GND. If you want to know more watch this short video by Richard J Murphy.

I'm a socialist. I've no love for the Liberal Democrats or Starmer's Labour Party but I'd be prepared to support a proper electoral pact Labour/Lib Dems/Greens in 2024 to get the Tories out and bring in electoral reform and a GND. We can't afford to be sectarian. Things are way too serious for that. The first step to such a pact is getting Labour to support electoral reform so I hope you'll join the Labour Campaign For Electoral Reform (LCER) if you are a member. Please also support Make Votes Matter. Real change has never been more ugent!

The cancer of consumption and #COVID19

We live in a consumer-capitalist society. Consumption drives our economy. That is why the Tory government is so anxious to return to 'normality', to get people back to work, commuting and buying their lunches at Pret a Manger. But the Coronavirus crisis has given us a different perspective. During the lockdown, many people were able to spend quality time with their children, they walked and cycled instead of driving, and looked for open spaces where they could hear the birds sing and commune with nature. They spent less and saved money. There were some big downsides, some people were unable to see their families, some people were cooped up in small flats and rented accommodation, others were trapped in abusive relationships. 

But the lockdown and its aftermath have given many people a different perspective on life - on what really matters - families, friends, communities and the value of nature. I heard on Radio 4 today that there is an exodus from London. People who can afford to are moving to the countryside so that they can have larger gardens and be closer to nature. It's fine if you can afford it but there is much more we could do to make cities and suburbs nature friendly. We can green our cities if we chose to. We can create spaces for community gardens, grow food, plant many more trees, we can generate clean energy, and we can give priority to cyclists and pedestrians over motor vehicles.

But back to consumption. Because it's consumption that is driving global warming and the climate crisis. Its consumption that is killing the planet and it needs to be reduced. Yesterday the last remaining Canadian ice shelf, the size of Manhattan,  collapsed into the sea. There have been record high temperatures in the Arctic and Siberia. Global warming is accelerating and we may be reaching a tipping point.

On my street, we are lucky enough to have a coronavirus support group. Now that the crisis has eased the conversation in the group has turned to growing food and reuse. Lots of people are giving away plants, vegetables, and things they no longer need. There are books and DVDs but also cabinets, duvets, and even washing machines. How good is this? It very good and if this could be replicated nationally it would lessen our need to consume. It needs to become the new normal. There is a huge amount of 'value' which we routinely discard and that needs to stop.

Part of the problem is that it is difficult to imagine a better world. Transition founder Rob Hopkin's excellent and inspirational book - From What Is to What If - shows how we can do this. The book shows how to overcome the barriers in our thinking, and how to improve our imagination and creativity. It is full of ideas and examples and is a must-read.

Covid19 is a threat but it is also an opportunity to change the way we live. Many have been talking about building back better - moving to a cleaner, greener more inclusive society with good public services. The government will do its damndest to return us to where we were before the lockdown but I'm hoping that attitudes are shifting. The government will not deal with the cancer of consumption and the climate crisis because that is a threat to the profits of its donors and supporters. But we need to be active and keep up the pressure, and there is a lot we can do at a local level to improve community resilience and health and wellbeing, and build stronger local economies. There are already many good things happening. If you want to know more take a look at the Transition Network. 

It's not only The Transition Network which is building a better future. There are hundreds of groups around the UK working on solidarity, mutual aid, growing local food, local currencies,  economic democracy, climate action, and community energy projects. Free your imagination, join in and build back better!

Economic imperialism and the fallacy of 'development'.

I'm reading The Divide by Jason Hickel which is an excellent discourse on how poverty has been deliberately created and maintained across much of the globe through Western colonialism, and how the economies of Western countries - the USA, UK, and other European powers - benefited from the looting of the global south. Before Western colonialism countries like China and India had a greater share of the global economy than any Western nations. The people who lived there also had a longer life expectancy than European people. 

Now, apart from China and some East Asian countries, which have protected their economies, the countries in the global South are poorer and have a lower life expectancy than their Western counterparts. This situation has been maintained, despite a revival in the fortunes of the global south countries in the 1960s and 1970s, by economic imperialism enforced through debt. Economic imperialism is the new colonialism.

Countries in South America, Africa, and much of Asia are now dependent on Western finance which comes with strings attached. The IMF and the World bank impose stringent conditions which means that these countries must open up their economies to Western corporations that exploit their natural resources, and they are forced to cut and privatise their public sectors. This has lead to a massive transfer of assets, trillions of dollars worth, from these countries to the West, and the impoverishment of their people.

In order to ensure their dominance Western countries, lead by the USA and the UK organised a series of coups to overthrow governments that rejected Western economic control and began to develop their natural assets and provide better education and housing for their people. Two of the well-known examples are Iran in 1953 where the Mosaddeq government was overthrown because of his attempt to nationalise oil 'owned' by what is now BP, and Chile in 1973 where the government of Allende was removed. There are many other examples. Millions died in the process of colonisation, coups, and control.

As Hickel says:

"Since 1960, the income gap between the North and South has roughly tripled in size. Today 4.3 billion people, 60 percent of the world's population, live on less than $5 per day. The richest eight people now control the same amount of wealth as the poorest half of the world combined."

This is all hidden by the smokescreen of 'development' in which Western nations pretend to be helping the countries which they have deliberately impoverished by providing 'aid'. The West makes false claims about alleviating the poverty it has caused by massaging the figures to make it look like aid is working and poverty is falling.

What these countries really need is relief from debt and the return of the ability to control their economies and natural assets and build up their industries and public sector free from control by Western banks and corporations. That is the real route to ending poverty in these countries and it is being actively prevented by the West. 

There's a lot more, including solutions, as yet I haven't finished the book, but I don't need to in order to recommend this book to all of you. It should be required reading in schools. 

The felling of the Colston statue wasn't an act of vandalism it was an act of liberation

Incredible scenes in Bristol yesterday as hundreds of people gathered in Bristol to pull down the statue of slave trader Edward Colston and throw it in the river. This was an uplifting event that exemplifies the anger and frustration many people are feeling about racism after the protests about the murder of George Floyd in Minneapolis. The Bristol police did not intervene. 

The people of Bristol have been campaigning for fifteen years to have the statue removed without any success, having been ignored by the authorities. Its overthrow was an act of justice. Predictably, some people have complained about the manner of removal calling it vandalism, including Sir Kier Starmer, and some are talking about violence - there wasn't any - and also calling for those who pulled it down to be prosecuted. What this demonstrates is not only contempt for anti-racism and PoC, but also a fundamental misunderstanding of what the role of the police should be if we are to have a police force at all. 

To understand fully the real role of the police you need to know about the origins of policing, and, you've guessed it, it wasn't to protect people. One of the earliest police forces in the UK was formed in London at the docks. Dockworkers carried out the practice of gleaning which meant they removed spillages and took them home. This was intolerable as far as the owners of the goods were concerned so they formed the force to put a stop to it. And Robert Peel, who is famous for forming the Metropolitan Police got his ideas from the suppression of peasants in Ireland. The army was too busy to do this job so a 'police force' was formed instead. In the USA the earliest 'police forces' were formed to protect (i.e control) another form of property - slaves. If you want to know more read the excellent The End of policing by Alex Vitale. 

The murder of Floyd and the toppling of Colston raise fundamental questions of why we have the policing and what it is for. Do we need it, and how did we manage without it for hundreds of years? Before the advent of policing, disputes were settled and killers were brought to justice. The justice may not have been ideal but nobody thought there was a need for police. We can do better by rethinking what kind of society we really want to live in and how we can restore the commons and live together peacefully without the oppression of individuals and groups. If you want some ideas about this, read Human Kind by Rutger Bregman. Bregman argues that humans are fundamentally good, social beings, and convincingly explodes the myth that we are selfish, aggressive individuals.

In the USA there is now an active movement to defund the police which we should all support because recent events have exposed the fact that in a capitalist society property is valued more than human life. We still have a colonialist, white supremacist, capitalist order to dismantle.

#BLACKLIVESMATTER

A video is doing the rounds on social media of George Floyd who was accused of passing a counterfeit bill and was arrested by four police officers in Minneapolis. It's horrific, sobering viewing, a police officer knelt on his neck for nine minutes and he was recorded saying "I can't breathe". None of the other officers intervened. He died.

This has sparked off a wave of protests in the USA and around the world. Other videos have emerged of police brutality in the USA, attacking protestors and shooting them in the face with rubber bullets. At least one person has been blinded. Trump was censored by Twitter for posting "when the looting starts the shooting starts".

I'm appalled and my thoughts and solidarity go to PoC the world over who are suffering from systemic racism.

#BLACKLIVESMATTER

Can we build a democratic socialist party in the UK?

The coronavirus crisis grinds on and will continue for many months yet. Today the official figures are 32,000 coronavirus deaths - the highest in Europe. Governments are spending to prop up their economies. The result will be higher deficits and debt. That will lead to calls for a new round of austerity to 'pay for the crisis'. George Osborne, the architect of the period of austerity we are now still going through, has already called for this. Of course, that means that 'we' - the working and middle classes' will have to pay - not the corporations who have received billions in support, nor the 1%. This would be a disaster, not only increasing poverty and hardship for the many but ultimately making our economy weaker. The key thing is that the debt doesn't matter. As economist Stephanie Kelton explains in this video, a sovereign government with its own currency can create as much money as its needs. And what we need is a massive stimulus for a green new deal which will, get people back to work in well-paid jobs and mitigate the dire effects of climate change.

That will won't happen while we have a Tory government. The only way to bring about the stimulus we need is to elect a democratic socialist government. The question is can that be a Labour government? I understand that many socialists have been disillusioned by the election of Keir Starmer to the Labour leadership. Thousands have quit the party and I understand why. The 'Labourleaks' report was a good enough reason to leave, and there are many who feel that Starmer isn't providing sufficient opposition to a failing, incompetent government that is costing lives.

The problem for any opposition in a crisis is that people get behind the government - they want it to succeed - so outright opposition, though it may be justified may not be appreciated by many voters. Has Starmer called it right? That remains to be seen, but the acid test for Starmer is will he stick to Labour's radical policies - in particular the green new deal -  and will he win the next general election?

For me, it's too early to tell. But I do believe if Starmer's Labour fails to win in 2024, or earlier, that's the end of Labour. As a party member if Starmer shifts away from the Labour's radical policies I'm out. The question then becomes is it possible to build a genuinely democratic socialist party in the UK outside of Labour? The first past the post voting system gives every minor party a mountain to climb and it could take many years to build a party that would have any impact, which is why electoral reform is essential. Of course, it would be easier if left MPs split from Labour and had the support of some the unions but that looks unlikely.

So what do we do? I would be willing to join a new democratic socialist party if, and only if, it had a very flat structure and was member-led. Whatever happens, the key is organising at the grassroots and building economic democracy and mutual aid in the communities we live in.

After the virus: building the post-capitalist economy

Its time we began to think about what kind of economy we’re going to have after the coronavirus. What we can’t do is allow the Tory government to introduce a new round of austerity to ‘pay’ for the crisis. And what we must do is ensure that the so-called ‘low skilled’ workers such as shop workers, delivery drivers, bus drivers, care workers, nurses and cleaners who have kept us safe and maintained our economy are properly rewarded for the work they do.

Even in the absence of the virus, in recent times capitalism has shown that it is perfectly capable of bringing about its own demise. This isn't just about the recent collapse of banks, the coming coronavirus 'debt crisis' obscures the real problem we face which is the collapse of ecosystems on which we depend for our survival. 

Capitalism is not just the driver of the climate crisis we are in, but also of massive environmental degradation, and loss in biodiversity. It is capital accumulation that is devouring our planet and you cannot use the same mechanisms which are destroying the Earth to save it. What we need to do is bring about economic change before the consequences of climate change become unimaginably destructive to our global society. If we are to save the planet, a post-capitalist economy is inevitable, but we can do it the hard way or the better way, and what we need to do is think about how that economy ought to work.

I wonder how many people know that Karl Marx, was an admirer of capitalism, in the sense that he admired the huge productive capacity of capitalism, which far exceeded any previous economic system. Marx recognized that if the productive capacity of capitalism was harnessed for the good of society, it could provide people with a much better material standard of living than they had ever had before. But he also recognized that, through the mechanism of surplus value, capitalists were able to deprive workers of the wealth that they created, and that there would always be a conflict between capitalists and workers, between the productive forces - workers - and the non-productive forces - capitalists. 

Marx understood the massive forces that capitalism could unleash, and Marx and Engels were also much more aware of environmental degradation than they have been given credit for. Engels said:    

“Let us not, however, flatter ourselves overmuch on account of our human victories over nature. For each such victory, nature takes its revenge on us. Each victory, it is true, in the first place brings about the results we expected, but in the second and third places it has quite different, unforeseen effects which only too often cancel out the first.”

As far as climate catastrophe is concerned, the left may have led the way in our understanding of the unfolding climate crisis but the 'free' market right have since caught up, and are now pouring their millions into persuading people that climate change is not an issue, through climate change denial, because they are concerned about their profits and the end of the domination of democracies by the market. As I have pointed out before the 'free' market fundamentalists are fighting to deny climate change precisely because they recognize that a genuine and meaningful response the climate change will mean the end of capitalism as we know it. This state of affairs was beautifully summed up in an article by Naomi Klein called 'Capitalism vs the Climate'.

So what would a post-capitalist economy look like? It would not mean the end of the private sector, because the private sector is not the same thing as capitalism - your local hairdresser and corner shop owners are not capitalists - but initially, it would inevitably mean a much bigger role for the state because a collapsing capitalist economy would have to be replaced by extensive nationalisation of banks, transport, and utilities to save them from going under. This is what has already effectively happened with the coronavirus crisis. This is a chance to rebuild our economy on the basis of economic democracy and our aim should be to ensure that post coronavirus most businesses are owned and controlled by the people who work in them.

Energy and food production would have to be regulated as would imports and exports. We would need planning in a democratically controlled economy. This would not simply be an ideological choice but a necessary response to the crisis. We would have to grow as much as our own food as possible and economies would become much more localised. There have already been plans put forward for a green new deal (GND) to reduce carbon emissions and create millions of good green jobs - so we know the way forward. We have the solution in our hands and we must ensure it is implemented.

We are already experiencing problems with climate change in terms of freak weather events, and disruption to agriculture, and we will inevitably soon have difficulties with energy supply. During the coronavirus lockdown, we have also enjoyed the benefits of cleaner air and exercise. We have a choice, we can begin to adjust our economy now, to deal with these problems, or we can carry on with 'business as usual' and inevitably face much worse conditions later. We already have the basis of a GND in Labour’s policy programme. We need to make sure that this remains at the top of our agenda and is the ground on which we fight the next general election. We must work together to create a new kind of economy to deal with possibly the greatest challenge that human beings have ever faced.

My Prison Diary

Antonio Gramsci was a member of the Italian parliament and General Secretary of the Italian Communist Party. He was imprisoned by the Italian Fascist dictator Mussolini in 1928. With a history of poor health, he was released from prison in1933 and died under guard in a clinic. His writings in prison were smuggled out and became known as The Prison Notebooks.

Why am I referring to this? Firstly, because, if you are on the left, Gramsci is a political activist worth getting to know about by reading about his life and words. And secondly, we are all prisoners now. But we are not just prisoners because of the coronavirus, we are prisoners, and likely to remain prisoners for some time, because of the incompetence and malevolence of this government hence the title of this post.

I am on my twelfth day of lockdown after I visited a supermarket twelve days ago. I shouldn't have done it. I'm a vulnerable person. I have underlying medical conditions like Gramsci. Although my mental health is pretty good I do have some anxieties, not just for myself but those I love. Every time I cough I wonder if that is the start.

Today a government minister, Rober Jenrick, was on Sky News saying we have12,000 ventilators. Later on BBC Breakfast, he said there were 8,000. This is what we have to contend with not just incompetence but lying and it can only serve to cost yet more lives.

What we do know though is that our imprisonment is going to last a lot longer than some far-right commentators and Trump are saying. We won't be back on the streets and in pubs by Easter. We may be 'let out' in June, and then we can expect another lockdown in the Autumn. 

This is going to last for a minimum of eighteen months which is how long it will take to make an effective vaccine. In that time many people will die without a proper funeral or farewell from their loved ones, and the economy is going to take a massive hit. Afterward, life will be different for all of us.

In the meantime, we have to continue to expose the lies and incompetence of the government and work to make sure that things change - a decent NHS and benefits system and an end to low pay for 'essential' workers. 

I wish you all well. Stay safe.

The lesson of #Covid-19 is that its labour that makes our economy work, not capital.

So here we are. The Coronavirus pandemic rumbles on and we haven't reached the peak yet. Our incompetent and malevolent government still hasn't managed to source and distribute to NHS staff the protective gear they need. Daily, we see shocking scenes of NHS staff struggling to cope with improvised masks and gowns. In addition, they still haven't managed to provide any real support for the five million self-employed people in the UK, and the Universal Credit system is in crisis with a backlog of 500,000 applicants. 

Many nonessential workers such as construction workers and workers in call centres are being forced to continue working putting themselves and others at risk.

The latest scandal is that the government, instead of cooperating with other EU states to source ventilators has decided to go it alone and instead of sourcing them from the UK manufacturers has approached Dyson the hoover maker which has decamped to Singapore!

The big news yesterday was that Prince Charles has tested positive for the virus at a time when NHS staff still can't get tested. And so it goes on, a catalogue of failures which is going to cost more lives.

But this crisis has taught us an important lesson. It's not capital or capitalists which makes our economy function its workers - nurses, cleaners, deliverers, postal workers, supermarket workers, care home workers and more. What do all these people have in common? They're all low paid and under-valued.

And that's the nub of it. In the 2008 crash governments bailed out the banks but would we have missed them? No. The government could have nationalised them and let the 'investors' go to the wall. Instead, it made the rest of us pay for the banks' misdeeds through austerity. You can run an economy without private sector banks but you can't run it without workers and consumers.

James Meadway's thoughtful article for Novaramedia is worth reading on this. He says:

"Once people are too sick to work, or forced to self-isolate, the conventional operation of the labour market begins to break down. The division of labour – the secret to capitalism’s immense gains in productivity, as Adam Smith pointed out 250 years ago – itself is called into question: the present allocation of work between different parts of the economy is suddenly and, of necessity, forcibly altered."

What's clear is that, as James says, our economy needs to be fundamentally reworked for the benefit of those that make it work. I'm not as optimistic as he is. I have no doubt that when the crisis has passed the government will work hard to return to Brexit and business as usual - as if nothing happened. It will point the finger in any direction it can to avoid blame and will be supported by propagandists in the BBC and the media.

Whatever the outcome it's clear that thousands will die but it's unlikely that the death toll will exceed the 130,000 victims of Tory austerity.

The war against #COVID19: what we need to do

This is one of the most difficult posts I’ve ever written. I have a vested interest in survival. Because of my age and underlying medical conditions, I am a vulnerable person. I intend to be around for at least a decade yet. But that might not happen now.

We, in the UK, are in the early stages of the Coronavirus pandemic and already things are looking very bleak. The situation is developing rapidly and there are some very worrying developments. Causing the most worry is the predictable criminal negligence of the government in not taking swift action to initiate testing and countering the spread of the virus by means of lockdowns. Couple that with ten years of austerity and the underfunding of the NHS and you have a recipe for disaster. And it really will be a disaster because not only will tens of thousands of people die but our economy could end up in ruins.

In countries like France, Spain, and Italy, governments have taken decisive action, enforcing lockdowns, closing schools and requisitioning private hospitals and hotels for medical care. They have also taken measures to protect workers and the economy freezing rents, mortgages and utility bills and guaranteeing pay and the protection of businesses. What has happened here? Pretty much nothing.

There was a very good post from Richard J Murphy the other day in which is worth quoting at length, he said:

"Our survival experience does, however, depend upon something else, and that is the preservation of the economy.

We will still need jobs later this year.

We will also need key companies (and many more are key than most people appreciate) to still be operating.

We will still need banking.

We will still need people who can afford to spend.

And all those things require that there be enough cash in the system to make sure that this happens.

Critically, there is no shortage to the amount of cash that the government can create to tackle this crisis. Tax is not required for governments to spend. Deep down every government knows that. They do because when they go to war they never ask who is going pay for it, or how: they simply get their central banks to turn on the money and the aggression begins.

Now we need to turn on those money taps." [my italics]

He's right. If the government doesn't take action to support workers and businesses thousands of companies, large and small will go to the wall.

So we have a health crisis and an economic crisis and both are likely to last for some time, at least twelve months, maybe eighteen or until a vaccine has been made. That means the way our society and economy is run is going to need to change. As in a war situation, we are going to have to have more state-led collective arrangements to ensure economic stability and people's well being. We may need rationing and price controls. This is not a crisis that can be solved by the market. This, of course, is a complete anathema to Boris Johnson and his 'free' market fanatic crew and I suspect that only a clamour from the public will force a change in the government's approach. I encourage you to be part of that clamour. We may not be able to protest on the streets but contact your MP and lobby anyone you can to bring about the changes we need.

In the meantime, isolate yourself as much as you can, don't panic buy, support your neighbours and elderly relatives, through mutual aid, get yourself some sunshine and exercise if you can, and don't forget the vitamin D!